Copper Price Forecast 2025 And Beyond: Is Copper A Good Investment In 2025?

As geopolitical tensions have escalated, gold and copper have emerged as significant play in global energy sector. Unlike gold, copper is one of the common metals used in manufacturing all over the world. While copper prices are much lower than precious metals such as gold and silver, investing in the metal can also be lucrative.

Sometimes referred to as “Dr. Copper” for its ability to diagnose the health of the global economy, copper is just as essential to modern society as to ancient civilizations — if not more so. In 2024, copper prices witnessed remarkable surges, surpassing the significant milestone of $5 per pound in May. However, the red metal’s gains didn’t last, and by the end of the year copper had retreated back to the US$4 range.

The onset of 2025 promises to be a dynamic period, marked by Donald Trump’s return to the Oval Office, the implementation of a fresh stimulus package in China, and the persistent global push towards greener technologies. Now, many people are wondering that whether it is a good time to invest in copper in 2025? In this article, we will analyze copper and give a price forecast for this red metal.

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What is Copper?

What Factors Affect Copper Price in 2025?

2024 Copper Price Analysis

Copper Price Prediction 2025 and Beyond

How to Trade Copper?

Is Copper a Good Investment in 2025?

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What is Copper?

Copper is an industrial or a cheap metal. As a result, its price is much lower than precious metals such as gold or silver. In fact, a ton of copper costs less than $10,000. Despite its low price, copper has many uses. The Copper Development Association divides its uses into four categories: electrical, construction, transport and other. By far the largest sector for copper usage is electrical, at 65%, followed by construction at 25%.

Copper is the heartbeat of the global energy economy. Experts believe that demand for copper will rise in the coming years. Meanwhile, the supply situation is expected to tighten. Then, can copper hit new highs as demand rises?

What Factors Affect Copper Price in 2025?

There are many factors that would exert a huge influence in copper price in 2025. We will list four major factors below:

Chinese economy

China, acting as both a significant copper supplier and consumer, holds a pivotal position in shaping trends within the critical metal market. China’s faltering economy has been a major headwind for copper over the past several years. The country’s housing market accounts for roughly 30 percent of global demand for the red metal, meaning that any shifts could have significant implications for the copper market. However, there are many uncertainties about China’s economic recovery, especially as the crisis in the property sector deepens, China’s economy is likely to remain a headwind for copper prices this year.

Trump Tariff Turmoil

As tensions escalate between Western nations and eastern powers such as China and Russia, the markets for vital materials, including copper, may be increasingly vulnerable to disruption.

Donald Trump has pledged to impose a steep 60% tariff on all imports from China. Such a tariff on copper imports could drastically alter the incoming president’s plans for the resource sector, leading to heightened import prices and potential economic disruptions.

ING’s recent assessment of Trump’s policies forecasts an overall detrimental effect on the global demand for metals.

S&P Global echoed this sentiment following Trump’s victory. Immediately post-election, copper prices plummeted by 4%, dipping below US$4.30, with the firm warning that this could merely be the tip of the iceberg. The organization observes that while the market may have already factored in Trump’s tariffs, a broader trade war could exert even greater downward pressure on prices.

Trump’s presidency

Trump sworned in for his second term as US president on January 20. During his campaign, he made bold promises that could shake up the American resource sector, pushing a “drill, baby, drill” mantra and committing to increasing oil production in the US.

In terms of copper, Trump’s proposed changes to environmental regulations could have significant implications. While the Biden administration has sought to toughen these rules, Trump will look to relax them.

Global Economic Growth

The demand for copper is closely tied to global economic growth. During periods of economic prosperity, industries such as manufacturing and construction expand, driving up the demand for copper and, consequently, its price. Conversely, in times of economic downturn, demand for copper declines, leading to lower prices.

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2024 Copper Price Analysis

In 2024, the international copper price has exhibited a fluctuating yet upward trajectory, propelled by a multitude of factors such as the global economic recovery, the surge in demand for green energy transformation, supply chain bottlenecks in copper mining, and the shifting sentiments within financial markets.

In 2024, copper prices primarily ranged between $9,000 and $10,500 per ton. Below is a summary of quarterly summary of copper price performance:

Q1: At the beginning of 2024, copper prices fluctuated from approximately $9,000 to $9,500, reflecting a slow global economic recovery and moderate demand.

Q2: From April to June, copper prices rose further to between $9,500 and $9,800, driven by a rebound in manufacturing and green energy demand.

Q3: In August, copper prices surpassed $10,000, with prices nearing $10,500 by September. This surge was primarily attributed to the escalating demand for renewable energy and persistent supply chain constraints.

Q4: Copper prices fluctuated between $9,500 and $10,500 in the fourth quarter. As seasonal demand weakened towards the end of the year, a slight pullback occurred.

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Copper Price Prediction 2025 and Beyond

Copper Price Prediction 2025

In 2025, the dynamics of copper supply and demand are anticipated to remain tight, with various competing forces influencing the market. A significant factor to consider is the return of former President Trump to the White House. If he implements his policies as swiftly as promised, investors may soon gain clarity on their long-term implications.

Regarding China, while it will take some time for the property sector to fully recover from the pandemic-induced downturn, there may be signs of improvement early in the year as new measures begin to take effect in the market.

Based on the prevalent trends and key driving factors observed in 2024, copper prices are forecasted to remain elevated in 2025. Given the persistent demand from renewable energy and electric vehicles, ongoing supply chain disruptions, and geopolitical uncertainties, it is projected that copper prices may fluctuate within a range of $9,200 and $11,800 per ton throughout 2025.

Copper Price Prediction 2026-2030

Bank of America predicts that a combination of supply shortages and growing demand will propel copper prices to surge to $5.44 per pound by 2026, representing an additional 11% rally from the current price.

The Australian Government’s Office of Chief Economist (OCE) projected copper to climb to $8,991 in 2026, and continue rising to reach $9,211 in 2029 from estimated $8,340 in 2024, driven by stronger consumption in copper-intensive sectors such as construction, power sector, appliances and EVs.

S&P Global forecasts that copper demand will double, reaching 50 million metric tons by 2035. The most significant demands are expected to emanate from the US, China, Europe, and India.

The International Copper Association (ICA) forecasts that copper demand will increase from 28.3 million metric tons in 2020 to 40.9 million metric tons by 2040, with a compound annual growth rate of 1.85%.

Goldman Sachs said that the proliferation of AI technologies and the build out of new data centers to support those technologies is expected to drive up copper demand at rates of 6% per annum between now and 2030.

It should be noted that the  exact long-term copper price forecasts for 2030 and beyond are unavailable due to a multitude of elements involved and the high level of uncertainty. Analysts, however, were certain that copper prices would remain high owing to rising electricity and energy transition demand.

It should be noted that analysts believe that copper prices are showing an upward trend, but this does not mean that its price will rise in a straight line. Commodity prices are also more volatile than traditional stock prices.

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How to Trade Copper?

If you are interested in copper, there are several options for investing copper.

Physical copper ETFs

If you think the price of copper is likely to rise in the future, then the easiest option to invest in copper is to buy the metal. Buying physical copper, however, is inconvenient. After all, copper prices will be around $4 a pound by 2023.

However, you can choose to invest in physical copper ETFs (sometimes called an ETP), which allows you to profit from rising copper prices while being safer.

Copper Stock

Another option to invest in copper is to buy shares in copper mining companies. They are dedicated to exploring, mining and selling metals, and their production costs do not fluctuate much. As a result, higher copper prices can bring huge profits.

At the same time, a sharp fall in copper prices would lead to a sharp fall in profits. Besides, if prices are low enough, they can fall below the cost of production and cause losses for these mining companies.

As a result, investing in copper companies usually carries more risk than investing directly in metals, but it also brings more profit.

Copper Miners ETF

The final option for copper investment is to buy Copper Miners ETFs, which are less risky than buying stocks directly.

If copper prices rise and industry profits soar, investors would benefit a lot. while with diversified portfolio, investors would not to be over-exposed to any single producer and more risks.

Also, thanks to this type of ETF, we don’t have to spend time analyzing different companies in the industry, but are able to invest our time elsewhere.

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Is Copper a Good Investment in 2025?

Overall, copper is an industrial metal that is absolutely crucial to our current lifestyle. Fueled by its critical role in green energy solutions, copper continues to see growing demand. We are already seeing that global copper demand is likely to increase in the coming decades. The development of emerging countries and their urbanization, the mass adoption of electric vehicles, the construction of renewable energy infrastructure or the de-urbanization of developed countries will all make great contribution to growing copper demand.

Copper presents a compelling opportunity for investors. It is predicted that copper prices will continue to operate at elevated levels in 2025, with a potential range of $9,500 to $11,000. Industry professionals and investors are advised to focus on inventory management, stay attuned to renewable energy market demands, utilize futures markets for risk hedging, and consider material substitution strategies to achieve a more strategic and forward-looking market response.

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FAQs about copper

Will copper price go up or down?

According to copper price prediction in this article, many analysts and experts predict that copper prices could increase due to an expected supply gap and high demand when the Fed begins its rate-cutting cycle and China’s economy rebounds.

Should I invest in copper?

Based on current market condition, copper is undoubtedly a promising investment option. However, all investors should be mindful of the risks of investing in commodities, which are frequently volatile. If you want to invest in copper, be sure it aligns with your risk tolerance, and never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Is copper a good investment?

Copper and aluminum exhibit heightened sensitivity to economic fluctuations compared to other industrial metals, attributable to their ubiquitous presence in daily life applications. Consequently, this widespread usage intensifies the volatility of copper prices. If you wish to invest in copper,  it is imperative to thoroughly comprehend the inherent risks and align them with your entire investment objectives.

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