Bitcoin Inflows to Binance Plummet to Cycle Lows as Price Tests All-Time High

Whales are holding tight—Binance just saw its lowest Bitcoin inflows in months as BTC flirts with record highs. Is this the calm before the storm?

The great Bitcoin hoard begins

Exchange wallets are drying up faster than a DeFi project's liquidity pool. Traders seem allergic to selling at these levels—even with prices knocking on ATH's door.

Market mechanics at work

Low exchange inflows typically signal supply shock potential. And when BTC's playing hard-to-get, you know volatility's coming. Buckle up.

Wall Street's 'risk managers' will call this irrational—right before FOMO-ing in at the top like always. The cycle continues.

Inflows Drop as Bulls Tighten Their Grip

Analyst Darkfost recently highlighted the data showing a collapse in bitcoin exchange inflows, particularly to Binance. Traditionally, rising inflows to exchanges are a sign that traders are preparing to sell. But now, those numbers are dropping fast.

The monthly average of BTC sent to Binance is around 5,300 BTC, but the most recent daily figures are closer to 4,600 BTC — levels not seen since the depths of previous bear markets. This sudden drop reveals a key insight: selling pressure is drying up.

Rather than panic-selling or profit-taking, the majority of BTC holders appear to be waiting for higher prices, indicating a strong belief that the current uptrend is far from over.

BTC Price Near All-Time High – But Breakout Isn’t Confirmed Yet

Bitcoin briefly broke its all-time high by just $40 this week, topping out around $112,022 before pulling back slightly. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at approximately $111,153, and while this level is impressive, analysts say a clear breakout above $112K is needed to confirm a full MOVE into price discovery.

So far, the trend remains bullish, with Bitcoin forming higher lows and staying well above key support zones. The $109,300 level has now flipped into support and is seen as the first line of defense if the price faces a pullback.

Bullish Structure Supported by Moving Averages

Bitcoin’s chart continues to show strength on multiple timeframes. Key moving averages are all pointing up:

• The 50-day moving average is trending near $106,800, providing strong short-term support.

• The 100-day moving average is around $99,865, reinforcing the medium-term trend.

• The 200-day moving average, a broader market indicator, sits below at $96,672 — well beneath current price levels.

This alignment of moving averages paints a very bullish picture, suggesting the current rally is well-supported by longer-term momentum.

Why Low Inflows Matter

While price charts tell one story, exchange inflow data tells another — and right now, that story is one of tight supply. When fewer Bitcoins are being sent to exchanges, it usually means that investors have no immediate plans to sell. Instead, they may be moving coins to cold storage, holding off-market, or preparing for even higher valuations.

In contrast, large inflows often signal imminent selling pressure. So, with Binance inflows at record lows, the market could be primed for another big move up, especially if demand continues to rise.

The reduced availability of BTC on exchanges, combined with growing interest from institutions and retail buyers alike, creates a perfect setup for a supply squeeze — a scenario that could push bitcoin beyond $112,000 and into uncharted territory.

Broader Market Signals Also Look Favorable

Bitcoin’s rally is also backed by a strong global economic backdrop. U.S. stock markets are hitting record highs, job data remains strong, and global tensions have eased somewhat, allowing risk assets like Bitcoin to thrive.

Moreover, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke down from key levels, weakening the dollar and making BTC — often seen as a hedge — more attractive.

Final Thoughts

Bitcoin is on the edge of a breakout, but the most impressive part of this story might be the behavior of its investors. Rather than sell into strength, many are choosing to hold or accumulate, even as prices reach record levels. With Binance inflows falling to multi-year lows, the signs are clear: confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term future is growing.

If BTC can break above $112,000 with conviction, it could mark the start of a new bullish phase, driven by low supply, high conviction, and a global market environment that increasingly favors digital assets.

This might just be the calm before the next surge.