Insiders: CLARITY Act May Be Split into Multiple Bills Targeting Specific Sectors

Odaily News: Andy, host of The Rollup podcast, said on X that rumors on Capitol Hill suggest the CLARITY Act has almost zero chance of passing. Although Polymarket's prediction probability shows 18%, the actual likelihood may be only around 3%–5%.

According to him, it is widely known within Washington D.C. that the bill cannot pass, but no one can say so publicly because the industry has already invested tens of millions of dollars and 18 months of resources to push for its enactment. The Democratic Party's ethical scrutiny of Trump's crypto-related business interests has still not received a substantive response. In this light, the odds for YES on prediction markets are probably too high, and NO might be a direction worth watching.

Andy: "The CLARITY Act may subsequently be 'split into several independent bills,' each targeting specific segments of the crypto market. After the CLARITY Act's failure, what may follow are innovation exemptions, decrees, or sub-bills for stablecoins, asset tokenization, perpetual contracts, and prediction markets. At this stage, lawmakers prefer a segmented and refined approach rather than introducing a comprehensive, wide-ranging crypto bill. From my communications with insiders in Washington, this is the more likely scenario in the long run."